Forecasting Cash Flows

Overview

Fixed income instruments are contracts that specify when a payment is to be made, and how that payment is to be calculated.

Many types of analysis of fixed income instruments need a listing of cash flows (see present value for instance). Therefore, it is a critical part of fixed income analysis to be able to calculate (or forecast) what the cash flows for an instrument or portfolio of instruments will be.

Forecasting

Monte Carlo Simulations

Monte Carlo Simulations can be used to simulate cash flows while including risk factors that can impact the actual cash flows. These may include the following:

  • Interest Rate Curves
  • Variable Rate Instruments
  • Modeling Prepayments
  • Modeling Defaults
  • Structured Cash Flows