Business Cycles
Overview
One of the primary questions of macroeconomics and growth theory is why an economy experiences cyclic behaviour. In particular, the
oscillation between and boom and bust that often seen in all national economies.
Schools of Thought
- The Classical Theory -
in the classical theory, the supply curve is fixed and independent of price. Changes in aggregate demand will only affect the overall price
level, but will have no impact on production and/or consumption.
(in accordance with
Says Law.)
The classical model was incapable of explaining the business cycle, and thus was incapable of explaining
recessions
and
depressions.
- Malthus
- Schumpeters Creative Destruction
- Schumpeter emphasized the disruptive effects of changes in technology on the economic climate.
- Mal-Investment (Austrian Theory)
- the Austrian school believed that the failure of the market to clear was due to government influence, in particular on interest rates, which
led to mal-investment which would have to be cleared before the economy could resume full productivity.
- Keynesian Theory -
John Maynard Keynes focused on the effects of a changing aggregate demand and rejected the notion that such changes will only affect the overall
price level.
- Monetarism
- focuses on the role of money, and in particular, the supply of money in the expansion and contraction of the economy.
Models
- IS-LM : a model
describing Keynes view of aggregated demand and its impact on production and income.
- Credit Cycles
- credit cycles are often identified as the driver of business cycles, and can be a key component of financial crises.