Taylor Series Foundation of Sensitivity Based Risk Measures

Overview


The Taylor Series Approximation is used to construct a number of risk measures in finance. In fixed income, the primary such measures are

Function Approximation


The classical framework to fixed income risk approaches the problem through a function approximation lense. That is, the price of fixed income instrument (referred to as a bond here), is viewed as a function of a set of rate variables. The simplest approach views the bond price as a function of bond yield, which may be a function of time
{% Price = P(y(t)) %}
here {% y(t) %} is the bonds yield at time t.

Price as a function of yield is a smooth differentiable function, and can therefore be approximated by a Taylor Series . Specifically,
{% P(y_1) - P(y_0) = (y_1 - y_0) \times \frac{dP}{dy} + \frac{1}{2} (y_1 - y_0)^2 \frac{d^2P}{dy^2} + ... %}
This shows the change in the price of the bond, given that its yield goes from {% y_0 %} to {% y_1 %}. Notice that we retain only the first two terms and suppress dependence of y on t.

Duration and Convexity


Duration and convexity are just names given to terms in the Taylor series approximation above. The first term in the approximation is
{% \Delta y \times \frac{dP}{dy} %}
where {% \Delta y %} refers to the change in the value of y, or {% y_1 - y_0 %}. Duration {% D %} is usually defined as
{% \Delta P / P \approx -D \times \Delta y %}
then
{% D = - \frac{dP}{dy} / P %}
This shows that duration is the negative of the first term of the Taylor series, divided by the bond price. The negative is included because the derivative of the price with respect to yield is negative, so this converts duration to be and positive number and it is further divided by the bond price in order to convert duration to be percentage based.

Convexity is treated similarly.
{% C = \frac{d^2 P}{\partial y ^2}/P %}

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