Crypto Currencies Valuation
Overview
Crypto Currency Valuation
Crypto Currencies analysis is not necessarily complicated, but not necessarily easy either. From a technical viewpoint,
crypto currency value is driven by the forces of suppply and demand, just like any other asset. This means
that the standard tools of
technical analysis will apply to trading crypto currencies.
However, it is also true that crypto currencies do not have robust frameworks for calculating theoretical
value. Whereas other assets have frameworks for identifying market mispricing through asset valuation,
crypto valuation is harder to do.
One way to approach crypto valuation depends on whether the currency in
question is likely to become a widely used currency in a given set of economies. Because crypto currencies
are designed to have a fixed limit to the number of coins, one can take the total number of coins and
compare it to the number of coins (or dollars) in the economy in question. If one accepts that the
prices in an economy is a function of the amount of currency in circulation,
(see
Quantity Theory of Money)
it is relatively straight
forward to assume that the theorectical number of dollars per crypto coin would be equal to the
total number of dollars in circulation divided by the number of crypto coins.