Stochastic Lead Time

Overview


Lead time is a common variable that is assumed to be stochastic.

Stochastic Lead Time


Generally, it is assumed that lead times are distributed normally.

If the period over which demand is measured (for instance, demand per day) is small relative to the lead time, then the total demand over the lead time is
{% Total \, Demand = \sum_1^n Demand_i %}


If the demand is assumed to be normal, then the sum is normal. In this case, the mean and variance is given by

{% mean = mean_{lead \: time} \times mean_{demand}%}
{% variance = mean_{lead \: time} \times variance_{demand} + variance_{lead\:time}\times mean_{demand}^2%}

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